2018 : WHAT IS THE LAST QUESTION?
How will advances in mental prosthetics that connect us with other human and machine minds change the way we think about expertise?
Will the universe observed today someday begin to contract, bounce, and be reborn?
Is the botscape going to force us to give up the use of the first-person singular nominative case personal pronoun, I?
How can we rebel against our genes if we are biological creatures without free will?
Which facets of life will we never understand once biological and cultural diversity has vanished?
How do our microbes contribute to that particular combination of continuity and change that makes us human?
How do ideas about biological evolution change once one species has control over the origin and extinction of all other species?
Will some things about life, consciousness, and society necessarily remain unseen?
Is our continued coexistence with the other big mammals essential to furthering our understanding of human cognition?
Will we ever be replaced by another earthly species capable of evolving to a similar degree of social and technical sophistication that effectively fills the biocultural niche we vacated?
How can we reap the benefits of the wide and open exchange of data without undermining the values that depend upon the scarcity of information?
Is the cumulation of shared knowledge forever constrained by the limits of human language?
What new cognitive abilities will we need to live in a world of intelligent machines?
Why are the errors that our best machine-learning algorithms make so different from the errors we humans make?
How will humanity change in light of the increasing use of non-sexual methods of reproduction?
When will we accept that the most accurate clocks will have to advance regularly sometimes, irregularly most of the time, and at times run counterclockwise?
Will a baby grown from an embryo constructed from human stem cells eventually become a person?
How will we build the tools to maintain the software in long-lived online devices that can kill us?
Will the behavior of a superintelligent AI be mostly determined by the results of its reasoning about the other superintelligent AIs?
Is the unipolar future of a "singleton" the inevitable destiny of intelligent life?
Can behavioral science crack the ultimate challenge of getting people to durably adopt much healthier lifestyles?
Is there a way for humans to directly experience what it’s like to be another entity?
Can we design a modern society without money which is at least as effective economically and politically as our current system?
How will the advent of direct brain-to-brain communication change the way we think?
How can aims of individual liberty and economic efficiency be reconciled with aims of social justice and environmental sustainability?
Can a user-friendly computer proof assistant satisfy the mathematician’s desire for certainty without killing the pleasure?
Why is the phenomenon too familiar to investigate the hardest thing to completely understand?
When in the evolution of animal life did the capacity to experience love for another being first emerge?
Can we create technologies that help equitably reduce the amount of conflict in the world?
What will be the literally last question that will preoccupy future superintelligent cosmic life for as long as the laws of physics permit?
How can AI and other digital technologies help us create global institutions that we can trust?
Why do humans who possess or acquire unaccountable power over others invariably abuse it?
Will scientific advances about the causes of sexual conflict help to end the "battle of the sexes"?
Can natural selection's legacy of sex differences in values be reconciled with the universal values of the Enlightenment?
Is there a subtle form of consciousness that operates independent of brain function?
Could the thermodynamic prophecy of an increasingly entropic universe be fulfilled by the cosmic flourishing of intelligent life?
What is the fastest way to reliably align a powerful AGI around the safe performance of some limited task that is potent enough to save the world from unaligned AGI?
Why is the acceleration of the expansion of the universe roughly equal to a typical acceleration of a star in a circular orbit in a disk galaxy?
How will evolution shape the biological world one hundred years from now, or one hundred thousand?
What is the bumpiest and highest-dimensional cost surface that our best computers will be able to search and still find the deepest cost well?
Is our brain fundamentally limited in its ability to understand the external world?
What is the upper limit for how malleable the human mind and our emotions can actually be?
What can humanity do right now that will make the biggest difference over the next billion years?
Will it ever be possible for us to transcend our limited experience of time as linear?
Why do even the most educated people today feel that their grip on what they can truly know is weaker than ever before?
Why are humans still so much more flexible in their thinking and everyday reasoning than machines?
Will it be possible to do surgical operations in the future without making incisions?
How do we create and maintain backup options for humanity to quickly rebuild an advanced civilization after a catastrophic human extinction event?
What would a diagram that gave a complete understanding of imagination need to be?
Why is there such widespread public opposition to science and scientific reasoning in the United States, the world leader in every major branch of science?
How can coalitions of scholars who wish to update the content of explicit common knowledge in order to use that knowledge collaboratively detect and circumvent coalitions which are applying narrative control strategies to preserve arbitrage opportunities implicit in disparities between official narratives and reality?
Are the simplest bits of information in the brain stored at the level of the neuron?
Why is it so difficult to influence people’s belief systems for deeply held beliefs and so easy to manipulate belief systems when little is known about the subject?
How will people focus more on forming the right question, before rushing headlong towards the answer?
What systems could be put in place to prevent widespread denial of science-based knowledge?
What is the most important thing that can be done to restore the general public’s faith and trust in science?
Clarify the differences between understanding, knowledge and wisdom that could be communicated to a literate twelve-year-old and recommunicated to their parents.
Is the assertion "Nothingness is impossible" the most fundamental statement we can make about our existence?
How will the world be changed when battery storage technology improves at the same exponential rate seen in computer chips in recent decades?
How much time will pass between the last minute before artificial superintelligence and the first minute after it?
Will we ever understand how human communication is built from genes to cells to circuits to behavior?
Will human psychology keep pace with the exponential growth of technological innovation associated with cultural evolution?
In which century or millennium can all humanity be expected to speak the same primary language?
How will predictive models in the social sciences achieve the accuracy and precision of those in the natural sciences?
Will blockchain return us to the golden age of ownership of information licenses that can be resold like books and records?
Does the infinite multiverse of cosmologists, in which all that is physically possible occurs, contain realizations of our unruly paradoxes of infinity (Hilbert’s Hotel, Thomson Lamp, 1+2+3+4… = -1/12; etc.)?
Can major historical events, from the advent of moral religions to the industrial revolution, be explained by changes in life history strategies?
Is the universe relatively simple and comprehensible by the human brain, or is it so complex, higher dimensional and multiversal that it remains forever elusive to humans?
Can we create new senses for humans—not just touch, taste, vision, hearing, smell, but totally novel qualia for which we don't yet have words?
Is the universe like an onion that will require science to keep peeling back new layers of reality and asking questions forever?
What new methodology will be required to explain the neural basis of consciousness?
Can we train machines to design and construct a humane and vibrant built environment for us?
What will courtship, mate selection, length of marriages, and family composition and networks be like when we are all living over 150 years?
Why are reason, science, and evidence so impotent against superstition, religion, and dogma?
Can we develop a procedure that, in principle, would tell us whether or not our universe is a simulation (analogous to the way the now proven Poincaré Conjecture can tell us the universe’s shape)?
What would comprise the most precise and complete sonic representation of the history of life?
What will time with artifacts that simulate the emotional experience of being with another person do to our human capacity to handle the surely rougher, more frictional, and demanding human intimacies on offer?
Is there a fundamental difference between the biological world and the physical world?
If science does in fact confirm that we lack free will, what are the implications for our notions of blame, punishment, reward, and moral responsibility?
What will it take for us to be fully confident that we have found life elsewhere in the cosmos?
Does religious engagement promote or impede morality, altruism, and human flourishing?
Is there an evolutionary advantage to building societies that favor entertaining over understanding?
What is the most intelligent and efficient way to minimize the overall amount of conscious suffering in the universe?
What is the master principle governing the growth and evolution of complex systems?
How much of what we call "reality" is ultimately grounded and instantiated in convincing communication and storytelling?
What would the mind of a child raised in total isolation of other animals be like?
What behaviors are we attributing only to brain mechanisms that may be better explained by considering biomechanics?
What future progressive norms would most forward-thinking people today dismiss as too transgressive?
Will we soon cease to care whether we are experiencing normal, augmented, or virtual reality?
How complex must be the initial design of the simplest machine that can learn from experience to achieve, at a minimum, the intelligence and abilities of a typical human being?
Will the appearance of new species of talented computational intelligence result in improving the moral behavior of persons and societies?
What knowledge and know-how are our descendants at risk of forgetting as our species passes through future evolutionary bottlenecks?
Can we program a computer to find a 10,000-bit string that encodes more actionable wisdom than any human has ever expressed?
Are there any phenomena for which it will never be possible to develop parsimonious theories?
Can rational beings such as Bayesian robots, humans, super-intelligent AIs ever reach agreement?
Can an increasingly powerful species survive (and overcome) the actions of its most extreme individuals?
Will there ever be a mechanistic scientific question that can be asked about the lone individuality of mental life, with its particular beginning, middle, and end?
Will the "hard problem" of consciousness dissolve (rather than be solved) as we learn more about the natural world?
Why is it that the maximum information we can pack into a region of space does not depend on the volume of the region, but only on the area that bounds it?
Is there a single, evolved biological mechanism that can be tweaked to improve overall health, cognitive abilities, and slow aging?
Why are we so often kind to strangers when nobody is watching and we have nothing to gain?
Will the creation of a super-human class from a combination of genome editing and direct biological-machine interfaces lead to the collapse of civilization?
What cognitive capacities make humans so damn weird relative to all the other animals on the planet?
Is there a design to the laws of physics, or are they the result of chance and the laws of large numbers?
Are we smart enough to know when we’ve reached the limits of our ability to understand the universe?
How will we cope when we are capable of keeping humans alive longer than our optimal life expectancy?
Can a single underlying process explain the emergence of structure at the physical, biological, cognitive, and machine levels?
Will the "third culture" be followed by a fourth culture, a fifth culture, and, ominously, a Final Culture?
What will we do as an encore once we manage to develop technological solutions to infection, aging, poverty, asteroids, and heat death of the universe?
How can we design a machine that can correctly answer every question, including this one?
How do I describe the achievements, meanings, and power of Beethoven's piano sonata “Appassionata”?
How far can we extend beyond our human limitations to more fully grasp the nature of the world?
Is there a Turing test for living rather than thinking that can distinguish animate from automata?
How can an aggregation of trillions of selfish, myopic cells discover the unwitting teamwork that turns that dynamic clump into a person who can love, notice, wonder, and keep a promise?
Is it ultimately possible for life to bend the shape of the universe to fit life's purposes, as we are now bending the shape of our environment here on earth?
If we want to make a real and effective science-based policy, should we change politics or science?
Are the ways qualia relate to computation, creativity to free will, risk to probability, morality to epistemology, all the same question?
What is the principle that causes complex adaptive systems (life, organisms, minds, societies) to spontaneously emerge from the interaction of simpler elements (chemicals, cells, neurons, individual humans)?
Can wild animals that are large and dangerous be made averse to threatening humans?
If the sum of all significant knowledge is finite, what proportion of it can humans, aided by intelligent machines, eventually attain?
If we're not the agents of ourselves (and it's hard to see how we can be), how can we make sense of moral accountability (and how can we live coherently without it)?
Is gravity a fundamental law of nature, or does gravity—and thereby spacetime—emerge as a consequence of the underlying quantum nature of reality?
How can the few pounds of grey goo between our ears let us make utterly surprising, completely unprecedented, and remarkably true discoveries about the world around us, in every domain and at every scale, from quarks to quasars?
Given the nature of life, the purposeless indifference of the universe, and our complete lack of free will, how is it that most people avoid ever being clinically depressed?