| Too
many people think cloning cells for the fight against disease is the
same thing as creating Frankenstein's monster. Too many people think
evolution is the idea that people are descended from apes. And too many
people think that genetic modification of plants is a dangerous new
idea, instead of something that's been going on for ten thousand years...The
problem is that, although we're all entitled to our beliefs, our culture
increasingly holds that science is just another belief. Maybe this is
because it's easier to believe something—anything—than
not to know.
Alan
Alda
Dear Mr.
President,
I think
there may have been a terrible mistake. I'm not a scientist.
Worse
than that, I'm an actor. So, I don't know how I got recommended to you
as a candidate for science advisor. Possibly, someone felt that if we
could let an actor be president without major damage beyond a trillion
or two, why not science advisor? But, I'm also a writer who has a lifelong
interest in science, and I host the PBS program Scientific American
Frontiers, and I have played Richard Feynman on the stage, so
I can see where the confusion might have arisen.
If you
choose to name me as your advisor on scientific matters, I would consider
it my duty not to turn you down, but I think it only fair to let you
know the kind of advice I'm liable to give you.
First,
I really do value science. I get the impression from some previous appointments
in your administration that the mission of the appointees is to dismantle
the agencies they were put in charge of. I might do some damage through
ignorance, which may be why I'm on your short list, but I could not
bring myself to put an end to science in the United States; so if that's
what you had in mind, please count me out.
As for
my actual advice, it breaks down into two major categories: Deep and
Deeper.
Deep:
The world
is going to come to an end in about 5 billion years no matter what we
do. So, in the long run, you're off the hook. It's true that things
like Global Warming, plus the increasing loss of clean water and bio
diversity, can hasten The End Of Everything As We Know It, but even
so, it will all end eventually. Nobody gets blamed for continuing a
disastrous policy, so there will be no harm to your reputation if you
do nothing. People simply do not say, "Caesar did nothing to halt the
Roman practice of putting lead in the air and water, probably resulting
in the eventual weakening and fall of the empire." But they're absolutely
fascinated with the way he could divide Gaul into thirds.
Recognizing
this, I will not advise you to do anything related to the environment.
I will simply ask permission to put a glass of water on your desk every
day with little things swimming in it. Sooner or later, you'll slip
and drink from it, and while you're in the hospital, we can talk about
the billion or so people who have nothing else to drink.
I will
also arrange for the local gas station to charge your mom and dad what
a gallon of gas costs after the actual costs of the gas have been added.
This would include the cost of subsidies to oil producers, health care
for skin cancers and lung conditions, and a couple of wars, but we'll
skip the wars. I don't think this comes to more than a thousand dollars
a gallon, but if your folks write you about the awful price of gas these
days, then maybe we could have another talk.
And while
we're on the subject of gas, I believe it is our duty as patriotic citizens
to end our reliance on foreign oil. It is also our duty as rational
people to end our reliance on any oil. Both of these duties are
satisfied by pouring a huge amount of money into the development of
hydrogen cells, as well as thermal, wind, solar and several other forms
of energy. But it will take a huge amount of money—possibly
what it will cost to pay for 3 or 4 days of the next war.
As you
can see, the Deep stuff isn't all that deep, and it's pretty much what
you would expect from your average limousine liberal. The Deeper stuff
gets, as you might suspect, deeper. It will also, I'm afraid, get more
earnest.
Deeper:
What your
science advisor really needs to do is help you re-fashion the thinking
of the country. Too many people think cloning cells for the fight against
disease is the same thing as creating Frankenstein's monster. Too many
people think evolution is the idea that people are descended from apes.
And too many people think that genetic modification of plants is a dangerous
new idea, instead of something that's been going on for ten thousand
years.
If our
people don't learn to make distinctions and challenge their own thinking,
as well as that of others, then they will be at a disadvantage when
facing the technologies, insights and strategies of those who do. Rationality
has a special importance for us now.
The commencement
speaker at Caltech this past year said,
"We live
in a time when massive means of destruction are right here in our hands.
We're probably the first species capable of doing this much damage to
our planet. We can make the birds stop singing; we can still the fish
and make the insects fall from the trees like black rain. And ironically
we've been brought here by reason, by rationality. We cannot afford
to live in a culture that doesn't use the power in its hands with the
kind of rationality that produced it in the first place."
Actually,
I was the commencement speaker who said that, but I thought you'd pay
more attention if I put the Caltech part first.
The problem
is that, although we're all entitled to our beliefs, our culture increasingly
holds that science is just another belief. Maybe this is because it's
easier to believe something—anything—than not to
know.
We don't like uncertainty—so we gravitate back to the last comfortable
solution we had, and in this way we elevate belief to the status of
fact.
But scientists
are comfortable with not knowing. They thrive on it. They don't assume
that just because they had an idea it must be right. They attack it
as vigorously as they can because they don't want to lie to themselves.
As Richard Feynman said, "Not knowing is much more interesting than
believing an answer which might be wrong."
Above,
all, Mr. President, I think your science advisor needs to help you help
our country learn to be comfortable with uncertainty, and—as hard
as this might be to believe—to put reason ahead of belief.
Alan Alda
Actor, Director, Writer
Host of PBS program "Scientific American Frontiers"
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