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(STEVEN
PINKER:)
Thanks, Liz, for agreeing to this exchange. It's a privilege to be engaged
in a conversation with Elizabeth Spelke. We go back a long way. We have
been colleagues at MIT, where I helped attract her, and at Harvard, where
she helped to attract me. With the rest of my field, I have enormous admiration
for Elizabeth's brilliant contributions to our understanding of the origins
of cognition. But we do find ourselves with different perspectives on
a recent issue.
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For
those of you who just arrived from Mars, there has been a certain amount
of discussion here at Harvard on a particular datum, namely the under-representation
of women among tenure-track faculty in elite universities in physical
science, math, and engineering. Here are some recent numbers:
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As
with many issues in psychology, there are three broad ways to explain
this phenomenon. One can imagine an extreme "nature" position: that males
but not females have the talents and temperaments necessary for science.
Needless to say, only a madman could take that view. The extreme nature
position has no serious proponents.
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There
is an extreme "nurture" position: that males and females are biologically
indistinguishable, and all relevant sex differences are products of socialization
and bias.
Then there
are various intermediate positions: that the difference is explainable
by some combination of biological differences in average temperaments
and talents interacting with socialization and bias.
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Liz
has embraced the extreme nurture position. There is an irony here, because
in most discussions in cognitive science she and I are put in the same
camp, namely the "innatists," when it comes to explaining the mind. But
in this case Liz has said that there is "not a shred of evidence"
for the biological factor, that "the evidence against there being
an advantage for males in intrinsic aptitude is so overwhelming that it
is hard for me to see how one can make a case at this point on the other
side," and that "it seems to me as conclusive as any finding
I know of in science."
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Well
we certainly aren't seeing the stereotypical gender difference in confidence
here! Now, I'm a controversial guy. I've taken many controversial
positions over the years, and, as a member of Homo sapiens, I think
I am right on all of them. But I don't think that in any of them I would
say there is "not a shred of evidence" for the other side, even if I think
that the evidence favors one side. I would not say that the other
side "can't even make a case" for their position, even if I think that
their case is not as good as the one I favor. And as for saying
that a position is "as conclusive as any finding in science" — well,
we're talking about social science here! This statement would imply that
the extreme nurture position on gender differences is more conclusive
than, say the evidence that the sun is at the center of the solar system,
for the laws of thermodynamics, for the theory of evolution, for plate
tectonics, and so on.
These are
extreme statements — especially in light of the fact that
an enormous amount of research, summarized in these and many
other
literature reviews, in fact points to a very different conclusion.
I'll quote from one of them, a book called Sex Differences in
Cognitive Ability by Diane Halpern. She is a respected psychologist,
recently elected as president of the American Psychological Association,
and someone
with no theoretical axe to grind. She does not subscribe to any particular
theory, and has been a critic, for example, of evolutionary psychology.
And here what she wrote in the preface to her book:
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"At the
time I started writing this book it seemed clear to me that any between
sex differences in thinking abilities were due to socialization practices,
artifacts, and mistakes in the research. After reviewing a pile of journal
articles that stood several feet high, and numerous books and book chapters
that dwarfed the stack of journal articles, I changed my mind. The literature
on sex differences in cognitive abilities is filled with inconsistent
findings, contradictory theories, and emotional claims that are unsupported
by the research. Yet despite all the noise in the data, clear and consistent
messages could be heard. There are real and in some cases sizable sex
differences with respect to some cognitive abilities. Socialization
practices are undoubtedly important, but there is also good evidence
that biological sex differences play a role in establishing and maintaining
cognitive sex differences, a conclusion I wasn't prepared to make when
I began reviewing the relevant literature."
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This
captures my assessment perfectly.
Again for
the benefit of the Martians in this room: This isn't just any old
issue
in empirical psychology. There are obvious political colorings to it,
and I want to begin with a confession of my own politics. I am a feminist.
I believe that women have been oppressed, discriminated against, and
harassed for thousands of years. I believe that the two waves of the
feminist movement
in the 20th century are among the proudest achievements of our species,
and I am proud to have lived through one of them, including the effort
to increase the representation of women in the sciences.
But it
is crucial to distinguish the moral proposition that people
should not be discriminated against on account of their sex — which
I take to be the core of feminism — and the empirical claim
that males and females are biologically indistinguishable. They are
not the same
thing. Indeed, distinguishing them is essential to protecting the core
of feminism. Anyone who takes an honest interest in science has to
be
prepared for
the facts on a given issue to come out either way. And that makes it
essential that we not hold the ideals of feminism hostage to the latest
findings
from the lab or field. Otherwise, if the findings come out as showing
a sex difference, one would either have to say, "I guess sex discrimination
wasn't so bad after all," or else furiously suppress or distort the findings
so
as to preserve the ideal. The truth cannot be sexist. Whatever the facts
turn out to be, they should not be taken to compromise the core of
feminism.
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Why
study sex differences? Believe me, being the Bobby Riggs of cognitive
science is not my idea of a good time. So should I care about them, especially
since they are not the focus of my own research?
First, differences
between the sexes are part of the human condition. We all have a mother
and a father. Most of us are attracted to members of the opposite sex,
and the rest of us notice the difference from those who do. And we can't
help but notice the sex of our children, friends, and our colleagues,
in every aspect of life.
Also, the
topic of possible sex differences is of great scientific interest.
Sex
is a fundamental problem in biology, and sexual reproduction and sex
differences go back a billion years. There's an interesting
theory, which I won't have time to explain, which predicts that there
should be
an overall equal investment of organisms in their sons and daughters;
neither sex is predicted to be superior or inferior across the board.
There is also an elegant theory, namely Bob Trivers' theory of differential
parental investment, which makes highly specific predictions about
when
you should expect sex differences and what they should look like.
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The
nature and source of sex differences are also of practical importance.
Most of us agree that there are aspects of the world, including gender
disparities, that we want to change. But if we want to change the
world we must first understand it, and that includes understanding
the sources of sex differences.
Let's get
back to the datum to be explained. In many ways this is an exotic phenomenon.
It involves biologically unprepared talents and temperaments: evolution
certainly did not shape any part of the mind to do the work of a professor
of mechanical engineering at MIT, for example. The datum has nothing to
do with basic cognitive processes, or with those we use in our everyday
lives, in school, or even in most college courses, where indeed there
are few sex differences.
Also, we
are talking about extremes of achievement. Most women are not qualified
to be math professors at Harvard because most men aren't qualified
to be math professors at Harvard. These are extremes in the population.
And we're
talking about a subset of fields. Women are no under-represented to nearly
the same extent in all academic fields, and certainly not in all prestigious
professions.
Finally,
we are talking about a statistical effect. This is such a crucial point
that I have to discuss it in some detail.
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Women
are nowhere near absent even from the field in which they are most under-represented.
The explanations for sex differences must be statistical as well. And
here is a touchstone for the entire discussion:
These are
two Gaussian or normal distributions; two bell curves. The X axis
stands
for any ability you want to measure. The Yaxis stands for the proportion
of people having that ability. The overlapping curves are what you
get
whenever you compare the sexes on any measure in which they differ. In
this example, if we say that this is the male curve and this is the
female
curve, the means may be different, but at any particular ability level
there are always representatives of both genders.
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So
right away a number of public statements that have been made last couple
of months can be seen as red herrings, and should never have been made
by anyone who understands the nature of statistical distributions. This
includes the accusation that President Summers implied that "50% of the
brightest minds in America do not have the right aptitude for science,"
that "women just can't cut it," and so on. These statements are statistically
illiterate, and have nothing to do with the phenomena we are discussing.
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There
are some important corollaries of having two overlapping normal distributions.
One is that a normal distribution falls off according to the negative
exponential of the square of the distance from the mean. That
means that even when there is only a small difference in the means of
two distributions,
the more extreme a score, the greater the disparity there will be in
the two kinds of individuals having such a score. That is, the ratios
get
more extreme as you go farther out along the tail. If we hold a magnifying
glass to the tail of the distribution, we see that even though the distributions
overlap in the bulk of the curves, when you get out to the extremes the
difference between the two curves gets larger and larger.
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For
example, it's obvious that distributions of height for men and women overlap:
it's not the case that all men are taller than all women. But while at
five foot ten there are thirty men for every woman, at six feet there
are two thousand men for every woman. Now, sex differences in cognition
tend not to be so extreme, but the statistical phenomenon is the same.
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A
second important corollary is that tail ratios are affected by differences
in variance. And biologists since Darwin have noted that for many traits
and many species, males are the more variable gender. So even in cases
where
the mean for women and the mean for men are the same, the fact that men
are more variable implies that the proportion of men would
be higher at one tail, and also higher at the other. As it's sometimes
summarized: more prodigies, more idiots.
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With
these statistical points in mind, let me begin the substance of my presentation
by connecting the political issue with the scientific one. Economists
who study patterns of discrimination have long argued (generally to no
avail) that there is a crucial conceptual difference between difference
and discrimination. A departure from a 50-50 sex ratio in any
profession does not, by itself, imply that we are seeing discrimination,
unless the
interests and aptitudes of the two groups are equated. Let
me illustrate the point with an example, involving myself.
I work in
a scientific field — the study of language acquisition in children
— that is in fact dominated by women. Seventy-five percent of the
members the main professional association are female, as are a majority
of the keynote speakers at our main conference. I'm here to tell you that
it's not because men like me have been discriminated against. I decided
to study language development, as opposed to, say, mechanical engineering,
for many reasons. The goal of designing a better automobile transmission
does not turn me on as much as the goal of figuring out how kids acquire
language. And I don't think I'd be as good at designing a transmission
as I am in studying child language.
Now, all
we need to do to explain sex differences without invoking the
discrimination or invidious sexist
comparisons is to suppose that whatever traits I have that
predispose
me to choose (say) child language over (say) mechanical engineering
are not exactly equally distributed statistically among men and women.
For those of you out there — of either gender — who also
are not mechanical engineers, you should understand what I'm talking
about.
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Okay,
so what are the similarities and differences between the sexes? There certainly
are many similarities. Men and women show no differences in general intelligence
or g — on average, they are exactly the same, right on the money.
Also, when it comes to the basic categories of cognition — how we
negotiate the world and live our lives; our concept of objects, of numbers,
of people, of living things, and so on — there are no differences.
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Indeed,
in cases where there are differences, there are as many instances
in which women do slightly better than men as ones in which men do slightly
better than women. For example, men are better at throwing, but women
are more dexterous. Men are better at mentally rotating shapes; women
are better at visual memory. Men are better at mathematical problem-solving;
women are better at mathematical calculation. And so on.
But there
are at least six differences that are relevant to the datum we have
been
discussing. The literature on these differences is so enormous that I
can only touch on a fraction of it. I'll restrict my discussion to
a few
examples in which there are enormous data sets, or there are meta-analyses
that boil down a literature.
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The
first difference, long noted by economists studying employment practices,
is that men and women differ in what they state are their priorities in
life. To sum it up: men, on average, are more likely to chase status at
the expense of their families; women give a more balanced weighting. Once
again: Think statistics! The finding is not that women value family and
don't value status. It is not that men value status and don't value family.
Nor does the finding imply that every last woman has the asymmetry that
women show on average or that every last man has the asymmetry that men
show on average. But in large data sets, on average, an asymmetry what
you find.
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Just
one example. In a famous long-term study of mathematically precocious
youth,
1,975 youngsters were selected in 7th grade for being in the top 1% of
ability in mathematics, and then followed up for more than two decades.
These men
and women are certainly equally talented.
And
if anyone has ever been encouraged in math and science, these kids were.
Both
genders: they are equal in their levels of achievement, and they report
being equally satisfied with the course of their lives. Nonetheless there
are statistical differences in what they say is important to them. There
are some things in life that the females rated higher than males, such
as
the ability to have a part-time career for a limited time in one's life;
living close to parents and relatives; having a meaningful spiritual life;
and having strong friendships. And there are some things in life that the
males rated higher than the females. They include having lots of money;
inventing or creating something; having a full-time career; and being successful
in one's line of work. It's worth noting that studies of highly successful
people find that single-mindedness and competitiveness are recurring traits
in geniuses (of both sexes).
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Here
is one other figure from this data set. As you might expect, this sample
has a lot of people who like to work Herculean hours. Many people in this
group say they would like to work 50, 60, even 70 hours a week. But there
are also slight differences. At each one of these high numbers of hours
there are slightly more men than women who want to work that much. That
is, more men than women don't care about whether they have a life.
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Second,
interest in people versus things and abstract rule systems. There is a staggering
amount of data on this trait, because there is an entire field that studies
people's vocational interests. I bet most of the people in this room have
taken a vocational interest test at some point in their lives. And this
field has documented that there are consistent differences in the kinds
of activities that appeal to men and women in their ideal jobs. I'll just
discuss one of them: the desire to work with people versus things. There
is an enormous average difference between women and men in this dimension,
about one standard deviation.
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And
this difference in interests will tend to cause people to gravitate in
slightly different directions in their choice of career. The occupation
that fits best with the "people" end of the continuum is "director of
a community services organization." The occupations that fit best with
the "things" end are physicist, chemist, mathematician, computer programmer,
and biologist.
We see
this consequence not only in the choice of whether to go into science,
but
also in the choice which branch of science the two sexes tend to go into.
Needless to say, from 1970 to 2002 there was a huge increase in
the
percentage of university degrees awarded to women. But the percentage
still differs dramatically across fields. Among the Ph.Ds awarded in
2001,
for example, in education 65% of the doctorates went to women; in the
social sciences, 54%; in the life sciences, 47%; in the physical sciences,
26%;
in engineering, 17%. This is completely predictable from the difference
in interests between people and living things, on the one hand, and
inanimate
objects, on the other. And the pattern is pretty much the same in 1980
and 2001, despite the change in absolute numbers.
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Third,
risk. Men are by far the more reckless sex. In a large meta-analysis
involving
150 studies and 100,000 participants, in 14 out of 16 categories of risk-taking,
men were over-represented. The two sexes were equally represented in
the
other two categories, one of which was smoking, for obvious reasons. And
two of the largest sex differences were in "intellectual risk taking" and
"participation in a risky experiment." We see this sex difference in everyday
life, in particular, in the following category: the Darwin Awards, "commemorating
those individuals who ensure the long-term survival of our species by
removing
themselves from the gene pool in a sublimely idiotic fashion." Virtually
all — perhaps all — of the winners are men.
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Fourth,
three-dimensional mental transformations: the ability to determine whether
the drawings in each of these pairs the same 3-dimensional shape.
Again I'll appeal to a meta-analysis, this one containing 286 data sets
and 100,000
subjects. The authors conclude, "we have specified a number of tests
that show highly significant sex differences that are stable across
age, at least
after puberty, and have not decreased in recent years." Now, as I mentioned,
for some kinds of spatial ability, the advantage goes to women, but in "mental
rotation,"spatial perception," and "spatial visualization" the advantage
goes to men.
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Now,
does this have any relevance to scientific achievement? We don't know
for
sure, but there's some reason to think that it does. In psychometric studies,
three-dimensional spatial visualization is correlated with mathematical
problem-solving. And mental manipulation of objects in three dimensions
figures prominently in the memoirs and introspections of most creative
physicists
and chemists, including Faraday, Maxwell, Tesla, Kéekulé,
and Lawrence, all of whom claim to have hit upon their discoveries by
dynamic visual imagery
and only later set them down in equations. A typical introspection is the
following: "The cyclical entities which seem to serve as elements in my
thought are certain signs and more or less clear images which can be
voluntarily
reproduced and combined. This combinatory play seems to be the essential
feature in productive thought before there is any connection with logical
construction in words or other kinds of signs." The quote comes from this
fairly well-known physicist.
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Fifth,
mathematical reasoning. Girls and women get better school grades in mathematics
and pretty much everything else these days. And women are better at mathematical
calculation. But consistently, men score better on mathematical word problems
and on tests of mathematical reasoning, at least statistically. Again, here
is a meta analysis, with 254 data sets and 3 million subjects. It shows
no significant difference in childhood; this is a difference that emerges
around puberty, like many secondary sexual characteristics. But there are
sizable differences in adolescence and adulthood, especially in high-end
samples. Here is an example of the average SAT mathematical scores, showing
a 40-point difference in favor of men that's pretty much consistent from
1972 to 1997. In the Study of Mathematically Precocious Youth (in which
7th graders were given the SAT, which of course ordinarily is administered
only to older, college-bound kids), the ratio of those scoring over 700
is 2.8 to 1 male to female. (Admittedly, and interestingly, that's down
from 25 years ago, when the ratio was 13-to1, and perhaps we can discuss
some of the reasons.) At the 760 cutoff, the ratio nowadays is 7 males to
1 female.
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Now
why is there a discrepancy with grades? Do SATs and other tests of mathematical
reasoning aptitude underpredict grades, or do grades overpredict high-end
aptitude? At the Radical Forum Liz was completely explicit in which side
she takes, saying that "the tests are no good," unquote. But if the tests
are really so useless, why does every major graduate program in science
still use them — including the very departments at Harvard and MIT in
which Liz and I have selected our own graduate students?
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I
think the reason is that school grades are affected by homework and by
the ability to solve the kinds of problems that have already been presented
in lecture and textbooks. Whereas the aptitude tests are designed to test
the application of mathematical knowledge to unfamiliar problems. And
this, of course, is closer to the way that math is used in actually doing
math and science.
Indeed,
contrary to Liz, and the popular opinion of many intellectuals, the
tests
are surprisingly good. There is an enormous amount of data on
the predictive power of the SAT. For example, people in science careers
overwhelmingly
scored in 90th percentile in the SAT or GRE math test. And the tests
predict earnings, occupational choice, doctoral degrees, the prestige
of one's
degree, the probability of having a tenure-track position, and the number
of patents. Moreover this predictive power is the same for men and for
women. As for why there is that underprediction of grades — a
slight under-prediction, one-tenth of a standard deviation — the
Educational Testing Service did a study on that phenomenon, and
were able to explain
the mystery by a combination of the choice of major, which differs between
the sexes, and the greater conscientiousness of women.
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Finally
there's a sex difference in variability. It's crucial here to look at the
right samples. Estimates of variance depend highly on the tails of the distribution,
which by definition contain smaller numbers of people. Since people at the
tails of the distribution in many surveys are likely to be weeded out for
various reasons, it's important to have large representative samples from
national populations. In this regard the gold standard is the Science
paper by Novell and Hedges, which reported six large stratified probability
samples. They found that in 35 out of 37 tests, including all of the tests
in math, space, and science, the male variance was greater than the female
variance.
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One
other data set meeting the gold standard is displayed in this graph,
showing the
entire population of Scotland, who all took an intelligence test
in a single year. The X axis represents IQ, where the mean is 100,
and the Yaxis represents
the proportion of men versus women. As you can see these are extremely
orderly data. In the middle part of the range, females predominate;
at both extremes,
males slightly predominate. Needless to say, there is a large percentage
of women at both ends of the scale — but there is also large
sex difference.
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Now
the fact that these six gender differences exist does not mean that they
are innate. This of course is a much more difficult issue to resolve. A
necessary preamble to this discussion is that nature and nurture are not
alternatives; it is possible that the explanation for a given sex difference
involves some of each. The only issue is whether the contribution of biology
is greater than zero. I think that there are ten kinds of evidence that
the contribution of biology is greater than zero, though of course
it is nowhere near 100 percent.
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First,
there are many biological mechanisms by which a sex difference could
occur. There are large differences between males and females in levels
of sex hormones, especially prenatally, in the first six months of life,
and in adolescence. There are receptors for hormones all over the brain,
including the cerebral cortex. There are many small differences in men's
and women's brains, including the overall size of the brain (even correcting
for body size), the density of cortical neurons, the degree of cortical
asymmetry, the size of hypothalamic nuclei, and several others.
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Second,
many of the major sex differences — certainly some of them, maybe
all of them, are universal. The idea that there are cultures out there
somewhere in which everything is the reverse of here turns out to be an
academic legend. In his survey of the anthropological literature called
Human Universals, the anthropologist Donald Brown points out that
in all cultures men and women are seen as having different natures; that
there is a greater involvement of women in direct child care; more competitiveness
in various measures for men than for women; and a greater spatial range
traveled by men compared to by women.
In personality,
we have a cross-national survey (if not a true cross-cultural
one) in Feingold's meta-analysis, which noted that gender differences
in personality are consistent across ages, years of data collection,
educational
levels, and nations. When it comes to spatial manipulation and mathematical
reasoning, we have fewer relevant data, and we honestly don't have
true
cross-cultural surveys, but we do have cross-national surveys. David
Geary and Catherine Desoto found the expected sex difference in mental
rotation in ten European countries and in Ghana, Turkey, and China.
Similarly, Diane Halpern, analyzing results from ten countries, said
that "the
majority of the findings show amazing cross-cultural consistency when
comparing
males and females on cognitive tests."
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Third,
stability over time. Surveys of life interests and personality have
shown
little or no change in the two generations that have come of age since
the second wave of feminism. There is also, famously, resistance to
change in communities that, for various ideological reasons, were dedicated
to
stamping out sex differences, and found they were unable to do so. These
include the Israeli kibbutz, various American Utopian communes a century
ago, and contemporary androgynous academic couples.
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In
tests of mental rotation, the meta-analysis by Voyer et al found no change
over time. In mathematical reasoning there has been a decline in the size
of the difference, although it has certainly not disappeared.
Fourth,
many sex differences can be seen in other mammals. It would be an amazing
coincidence if these differences just happened to be replicated in the
arbitrary choices made by human cultures at the dawn of time. There are
large differences between males and females in many mammals in aggression,
in investment in offspring, in play aggression play versus play parenting,
and in the range size, which predicts a species' sex differences in spatial
ability (such as in solving mazes), at least in polygynous species, which
is how the human species is classified. Many primate species even show
a sex difference in their interest in physical objects versus conspecifics,
a difference seen their patterns of juvenile play. Among baby vervet monkeys,
the males even prefer to play with trucks and the females with other kinds
of toys!
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Fifth,
many of these differences emerge in early childhood. It is said that
there is a technical term for people who believe that
little boys and little girls are born indistinguishable and are molded
into their natures by parental socialization. The term is "childless."
Some sex
differences seem to emerge even in the first week of life. Girls respond
more to sounds of distress, and girls make more eye contact than boys.
And in a study that I know Liz disputes and that I hope we'll talk about,
newborn boys were shown to be more interested in looking at a physical
object than a face, whereas newborn girls were shown to be more interested
in looking at a face than a physical object.
A bit later
in development there are vast and robust differences between boys and
girls, seen all over the world. Boys far more often than girls engage
in rough-and-tumble play, which involves aggression, physical activity,
and competition. Girls spend a lot more often in cooperative play. Girls
engage much more often in play parenting. And yes, boys the world over
turn anything into a vehicle or a weapon, and girls turn anything into
a doll. There are sex differences in intuitive psychology, that is, how
well children can read one another's minds. For instance, several large
studies show that girls are better than boys in solving the "false belief
task," and in interpreting the mental states of characters in stories.
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Sixth,
genetic boys brought up as girls. In a famous 1970s incident called
the
John/Joan case, one member of a pair of identical twin boys lost his
penis in a botched circumcision (I was relieved to learn that this
was not done
by a moyl, but by a bumbling surgeon). Following advice from the leading
gender expert of the time, the parents agreed to have the boy castrated,
given female-specific hormones, and brought up as a girl. All this was
hidden from him throughout his childhood.
When I was
an undergraduate the case was taught to me as proof of how gender roles
are socially acquired. But it turned out that the facts had been suppressed.
When "Joan" and her family were interviewed years later, it turned out
that from the youngest ages he exhibited boy-typical patterns of aggression
and rough-and-tumble play, rejected girl-typical activities, and showed
a greater interest in things than in people. At age 14, suffering from
depression, his father finally told him the truth. He underwent further
surgery, married a woman, adopted two children, and
got a job in a slaughterhouse.
This is
not just a unique instance. In a condition called cloacal exstrophy,
genetic
boys are sometimes born without normal male genitalia. When they are
castrated and brought up as girls, in 25 out of 25 documented instances
they have
felt that they were boys trapped in girls' bodies, and showed male-specific
patterns of behavior such as rough-and-tumble play.
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Seventh,
a lack of differential treatment by parents and teachers. These conclusions
come as a shock to many people. One comes from Lytton and Romney's meta-analysis
of sex-specific socialization involving 172 studies and 28,000 children,
in which they looked both at parents' reports and at direct observations
of how parents treat their sons and daughters — and found
few or no differences among contemporary Americans. In particular,
there was
no difference in the categories "Encouraging Achievement" and "Encouraging
Achievement in Mathematics."
There is
a widespread myth that teachers (who of course are disproportionately
female) are dupes who perpetuate gender inequities by failing to call
on girls in class, and who otherwise having low expectations of girls'
performance. In fact Jussim and Eccles, in a study of 100 teachers
and
1,800 students, concluded that teachers seemed to be basing their perceptions
of students on those students' actual performances and motivation.
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Eighth,
studies of prenatal sex hormones: the mechanism that makes boys boys
and
girls girls in the first place. There is evidence, admittedly squishy
in parts, that differences in prenatal hormones make a difference
in later
thought and behavior even within a given sex. In the condition called
congenital adrenal hyperplasia, girls in utero are subjected to an
increased
dose of androgens, which is neutralized postnatally. But when they
grow up they have male-typical toy preferences — trucks
and guns —
compared to other girls, male-typical play patterns, more competitiveness,
less cooperativeness, and male-typical occupational preferences. However,
research on their spatial abilities is inconclusive, and I cannot honestly
say that there are replicable demonstrations that CAH women have male-typical
patterns of spatial cognition.
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Similarly,
variations in fetal testosterone, studied in various ways, show that fetal
testosterone has a nonmonotic relationship to reduced eye contact and face
perception at 12 months, to reduced vocabulary at 18 months, to reduced
social skills and greater narrowness of interest at 48 months, and to enhanced
mental rotation abilities in the school-age years.
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Ninth,
circulating sex hormones. I'm going to go over this slide pretty quickly
because the literature is a bit messy. Though it's possible that all claims
of the effects of hormones on cognition will turn out to be bogus, I suspect
something will be salvaged from this somewhat contradictory literature.
There are, in any case, many studies showing that testosterone levels in
the low-normal male range are associated with better abilities in spatial
manipulation. And in a variety of studies in which estrogens are compared
or manipulated, there is evidence, admittedly disputed, for statistical
changes in the strengths and weaknesses in women's cognition during the
menstrual cycle, possibly a counterpart to the changes in men's abilities
during their daily and seasonal cycles of testosterone.
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My
last kind of evidence: imprinted X chromosomes. In the past fifteen years
an entirely separate genetic system capable of implementing sex differences
has been discovered. In the phenomenon called genetic imprinting, studied
by David Haig and others, a chromosome such as the X chromosome can be
altered depending on whether it was passed on from one's mother or from
one's father. This makes a difference in the condition called Turner
syndrome,
in which a child has just one X chromosome, but can get it either from
her mother or her father. When she inherits an X that is specific to
girls,
on average she has a better vocabulary and better social skills, and is
better at reading emotions, at reading body language, and at reading
faces.
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A
remark on stereotypes, and then I'll finish.
Are these
stereotypes? Yes, many of them are (although, I must add, not all
of them
— for example, women's superiority in spatial memory and mathematical
calculation. There seems to be a widespread assumption
that
if a sex difference conforms to a stereotype, the difference must
have
been caused by the stereotype, via differential expectations for
boys and for girls. But of course the causal arrow could go in either
direction: stereotypes might reflect differences rather than cause
them. In fact there's an enormous literature in cognitive psychology
which
says that people can be good intuitive statisticians when forming categories
and that their prototypes for conceptual categories track the statistics
of the natural world pretty well. For example, there is a stereotype
that basketball players are taller on average than jockeys. But that
does not
mean that basketball players grow tall, and jockeys shrink, because we
expect them to have certain heights! Likewise, Alice Eagly and Jussim
and Eccles have shown that most of people's gender stereotypes are in
fact pretty accurate. Indeed the error people make is in the direction
of underpredicting sex differences.
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To
sum up: I think there is more than "a shred of evidence" for sex differences
that are relevant to statistical gender disparities in elite hard science
departments. There are reliable average difference in life priorities, in
an interest in people versus things, in risk-seeking, in spatial transformations,
in mathematical reasoning, and in variability in these traits. And there
are ten kinds of evidence that these differences are not completely explained
by socialization and bias, although they surely are in part.
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A
concluding remark. None of this provides grounds for ignoring the biases
and barriers that do keep women out of science, as long as we keep in mind
the distinction between fairness on the one hand and sameness
on the other. And I will give the final word to Gloria Steinem: "there
are very few jobs that actually require a penis or a vagina, and all the
other jobs should be open to both sexes." |
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(ELIZABETH
SPELKE:) Thanks, especially to Steve; I'm really
glad we're able to have this debate, I've been looking forward
to it.
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I
want to start by talking about the points of agreement between Steve
and me, and as he suggested, there are many. If we got away from the
topic of sex and science, we'd be hard pressed to find issues that
we disagree on. Here are a few of the points of agreement that are
particularly relevant to the discussions of the last few months.
First,
we agree that both our society in general and our university in particular
will be healthiest if all opinions can be put on the table and debated
on their merits. We also agree that claims concerning sex differences
are empirical, they should be evaluated by evidence, and we'll all
be happier and live longer if we can undertake that evaluation as
dispassionately and rationally as possible. We agree that the mind
is not a blank slate; in fact one of the deepest things that Steve
and I agree on is that there is such a thing as human nature, and
it is a fascinating and exhilarating experience to study it. And
finally, I think we agree that the role of scientists in society
is rather modest. Scientists find things out. The much more difficult
questions of how to use that information, live our lives, and structure
our societies are not questions that science can answer. Those are
questions that everybody must consider.
So where
do we disagree?
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We
disagree on the answer to the question, why in the world are women
scarce as hens' teeth on Harvard's mathematics faculty and other similar
institutions? In the current debate, two classes of factors have been
said to account for this difference. In one class are social forces,
including overt and covert discrimination and social influences that
lead men and women to develop different skills and different priorities.
In the other class are genetic differences that predispose men and
women to have different capacities and to want different things.
In his
book, The Blank Slate, and again today, Steve argued that
social forces are over-rated as causes of gender differences. Intrinsic
differences in aptitude are a larger factor, and intrinsic differences
in motives are the biggest factor of all. Most of the examples that
Steve gave concerned what he takes to be biologically based differences
in motives.
My own
view is different. I think the big forces causing this gap are social
factors. There are no differences in overall intrinsic aptitude for
science and mathematics between women and men. Notice that I am not
saying the genders are indistinguishable, that men and women are
alike in every way, or even that men and women have identical cognitive
profiles. I'm saying that when you add up all the things that men
are good at, and all the things that women are good at, there is
no overall advantage for men that would put them at the top of the
fields of math and science.
On the
issue of motives, I think we're not in a position to know whether
the different things that men and women often say they want stem
only from social forces, or in part from intrinsic sex differences.
I don't think we can know that now.
I want
to start with the issue that's clearly the biggest source of debate
between Steve and me: the issue of differences in intrinsic aptitude.
This is the only issue that my own work and professional knowledge
bear on. Then I will turn to the social forces, as a lay person as
it were, because I think they are exerting the biggest effects. Finally,
I'll consider the question of intrinsic motives, which I hope we'll
come back to in our discussion.
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Over
the last months, we've heard three arguments that men have greater cognitive
aptitude for science. The first argument is that from birth, boys are
interested in objects and mechanics, and girls are interested in people
and emotions. The predisposition to figure out the mechanics of the world
sets boys on a path that makes them more likely to become scientists
or mathematicians. The second argument assumes, as Galileo told us, that
science is conducted in the language of mathematics. On the second claim,
males are intrinsically better at mathematical reasoning, including spatial
reasoning. The third argument is that men show greater variability than
women, and as a result there are more men at the extreme upper end of
the ability distribution from which scientists and mathematicians are
drawn. Let me take these claims one by one.
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The
first claim, as Steve said, is gaining new currency from the work of
Simon Baron-Cohen. It's an old idea, presented with some new language.
Baron-Cohen says that males are innately predisposed to learn about
objects and mechanical relationships, and this sets them on a path
to becoming what he calls "systematizers." Females, on the other hand,
are innately predisposed to learn about people and their emotions,
and this puts them on a path to becoming "empathizers." Since systematizing
is at the heart of math and science, boys are more apt to develop the
knowledge and skills that lead to math and science.
To anyone
as old as I am who has been following the literature on sex differences,
this may seem like a surprising claim. The classic reference on the
nature and development of sex differences is a book by Eleanor Maccoby
and Carol Jacklin that came out in the 1970s. They reviewed evidence
for all sorts of sex differences, across large numbers of studies,
but they also concluded that certain ideas about differences between
the genders were myths. At the top of their list of myths was the
idea that males are primarily interested in objects and females are
primarily interested in people. They reviewed an enormous literature,
in which babies were presented with objects and people to see if
they were more interested in one than the other. They concluded that
there were no sex differences in these interests.
Nevertheless,
this conclusion was made in the early 70s. At that time, we didn't
know much about babies' understanding of objects and people, or how
their understanding grows. Since Baron-Cohen's claims concern differential
predispositions to learn about different kinds of things, you could
argue that the claims hadn't been tested in Maccoby and Jacklin's
time. What does research now show?
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Let
me take you on a whirlwind tour of 30 years of research in one powerpoint
slide. From birth, babies perceive objects. They know where one object
ends and the next one begins. They can't see objects as well as we
can, but as they grow their object perception becomes richer and more
differentiated.
Babies
also start with rudimentary abilities to represent that an object
continues to exist when it's out of view, and they hold onto those
representations longer, and over more complicated kinds of changes,
as they grow. Babies make basic inferences about object motion: inferences
like, the force with which an object is hit determines the speed
with which it moves. These inferences undergo regular developmental
changes over the infancy period.
In each
of these cases, there is systematic developmental change, and there's
variability. Because of this variability, we can compare the abilities
of male infants to females. Do we see sex differences? The research
gives a clear answer to this question: We don't.
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Male
and female infants are equally interested in objects. Male and female
infants make the same inferences about object motion, at the same time
in development. They learn the same things about object mechanics at
the same time.
Across
large numbers of studies, occasionally a study will favor one sex
over the other. For example, girls learn that the force with which
something is hit influences the distance it moves a month earlier
than boys do. But these differences are small and scattered. For
the most part, we see high convergence across the sexes. Common paths
of learning continue through the preschool years, as kids start manipulating
objects to see if they can get a rectangular block into a circular
hole. If you look at the rates at which boys and girls figure these
things out, you don't find any differences. We see equal developmental
paths.
I think
this research supports an important conclusion. In discussions of
sex differences, we need to ask what's common across the two sexes.
One thing that's common is infants don't divide up the labor of understanding
the world, with males focusing on mechanics and females focusing
on emotions. Male and female infants are both interested in objects
and in people, and they learn about both. The conclusions that Maccoby
and Jacklin drew in the early 1970s are well supported by research
since that time.
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Let
me turn to the second claim. People may have equal abilities to develop
intuitive understanding of the physical world, but formal math and science
don't build on these intuitions. Scientists use mathematics to come up
with new characterizations of the world and new principles to explain
its functioning. Maybe males have an edge in scientific reasoning because
of their greater talent for mathematics.
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As
Steve said, formal mathematics is not something we have evolved to
do; it's a recent accomplishment. Animals don't do formal math or science,
and neither did humans back in the Pleistocene. If there is a biological
basis for our mathematical reasoning abilities, it must depend on systems
that evolved for other purposes, but that we've been able to harness
for the new purpose of representing and manipulating numbers and geometry.
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Research
from the intersecting fields of cognitive neuroscience, neuropsychology,
cognitive psychology, and cognitive development provide evidence for
five "core systems" at the foundations of mathematical reasoning. The
first is a system for representing small exact numbers of objects — the
difference between one, two, and three. This system
emerges in human infants at about five months of age, and it continues
to be present in adults. The second is a system for discriminating
large, approximate numerical magnitudes — the difference between
a set of about ten things and a set of about 20 things. That system
also emerges early in infancy, at four or five months, and continues
to be present and functional in adults.
The third
system is probably the first uniquely human foundation for numerical
abilities: the system of natural number concepts that we construct
as children when we learn verbal counting. That construction takes
place between about the ages of two and a half and four years. The
last two systems are first seen in children when they navigate. One
system represents the geometry of the surrounding layout. The other
system represents landmark objects.
All five
systems have been studied quite extensively in large numbers of male
and female infants. We can ask, are there sex differences in the
development of any of these systems at the foundations of mathematical
thinking? Again, the answer is no. I will show you data from just
two cases.
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The
first is the development of natural number concepts, constructed by children
between the ages of two and four. At any particular time in this period,
you'll find a lot of variability. For example, between the ages of three
and three and a half years, some children have only figured out the meaning
of the word "one" and can only distinguish the symbolic concept one from
all other numbers. Other kids have figured out the meanings of all the
words in the count list up to "ten" or more, and they can use all of
them in a meaningful way. Most kids are somewhere in between: they have
figured out the first two symbols, or the first three, and so forth.
When you compare children's performance by sex, you see no hint of a
superiority of males in constructing natural number concepts.
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The
other example comes from studies that I think are the closest thing in
preschool children to the mental rotation tests conducted with adults.
In these studies, children are brought into a room of a given shape,
something is hidden in a corner, and then their eyes are closed and they're
spun around. They have to remember the shape of the room, open their
eyes, and figure out how to rotate themselves back to the object where
it was hidden. If you test a group of 4 year olds, you find they can
do this task well above chance but not perfectly; there's a range of
performance. When you break that performance down by gender, again there
is not a hint of an advantage for boys over girls.
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These
findings and others support two important points. First, indeed there
is a biological foundation to mathematical and scientific reasoning.
We are endowed with core knowledge systems that emerge prior to any
formal instruction and that serve as a basis for mathematical thinking.
Second, these systems develop equally in males and females. Ten years
ago, the evolutionary psychologist and sex difference researcher, David
Geary, reviewed the literature that was available at that time. He
concluded that there were no sex differences in "primary abilities" underlying
mathematics. What we've learned in the last ten years continues to
support that conclusion.
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Sex
differences do emerge at older ages. Because they emerge later in childhood,
it's hard to tease apart their biological and social sources. But before
we attempt that task, let's ask what the differences are.
I think
the following is a fair statement, both of the cognitive differences
that Steve described and of others. When people are presented with
a complex task that can be solved through multiple different strategies,
males and females sometimes differ in the strategy that they prefer.
For example,
if a task can only be solved by representing the geometry of the
layout, we do not see a difference between men and women. But if
the task can be accomplished either by representing geometry or by
representing individual landmarks, girls tend to rely on the landmarks,
and boys on the geometry. To take another example, when you compare
the shapes of two objects of different orientations, there are two
different strategies you can use. You can attempt a holistic rotation
of one of the objects into registration with the other, or you can
do point-by-point featural comparisons of the two objects. Men are
more likely to do the first; women are more likely to do the second.
Finally,
the mathematical word problems on the SAT-M very often allow multiple
solutions. Both item analyses and studies of high school students
engaged in the act of solving such problems suggest that when students
have the choice of solving a problem by plugging in a formula or
by doing Ven diagram-like spatial reasoning, girls tend to do the
first and boys tend to do the second.
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Because
of these differences, males and females sometimes show differing cognitive
profiles on timed tests. When you have to solve problems fast, some
strategies will be faster than others. Thus, females perform better
at some verbal, mathematical and spatial tasks, and males perform better
at other verbal, mathematical, and spatial tasks. This pattern of differing
profiles is not well captured by the generalization, often bandied
about in the popular press, that women are "verbal" and men are "spatial." There
doesn't seem to be any more evidence for that than there was for the
idea that women are people-oriented and men are object-oriented. Rather
the differences are more subtle.
Does
one of these two profiles foster better learning of math than the
other? In particular, is the male profile better suited to high-level
mathematical reasoning?
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At
this point, we face a question that's been much discussed in the literature
on mathematics education and mathematical testing. The question is,
by what yardstick can we decide whether men or women are better at
math?
Some
people suggest that we look at performance on the SAT-M, the quantitative
portion of the Scholastic Assessment Test. But this suggestion raises
a problem of circularity. The SAT test is composed of many different
types of items. Some of those items are solved better by females.
Some are solved better by males. The people who make the test have
to decide, how many items of each type to include? Depending on how
they answer that question, they can create a test that makes women
look like better mathematicians, or a test that makes men look like
better mathematicians. What's the right solution?
Books
are devoted to this question, with much debate, but there seems to
be a consensus on one point: The only way to come up with a test
that's fair is to develop an independent understanding of what mathematical
aptitude is and how it's distributed between men and women. But in
that case, we can't use performance on the SAT to give us that understanding.
We've got to get that understanding in some other way. So how are
we going to get it?
A second
strategy is to look at job outcomes. Maybe the people who are better
at mathematics are those who pursue more mathematically intensive
careers. But this strategy raises two problems. First, which mathematically
intensive jobs should we choose? If we choose engineering, we will
conclude that men are better at math because more men become engineers.
If we choose accounting, we will think that women are better at math
because more women become accountants: 57% of current accountants
are women. So which job are we going to pick, to decide who has more
mathematical talent?
These
two examples suggest a deeper problem with job outcomes as a measure
of mathematical talent. Surely you've got to be good at math to land
a mathematically intensive job, but talent in mathematics is only
one of the factors influencing career choice. It can't be our gold
standard for mathematical ability.
So what
can be? I suggest the following experiment. We should take a large
number of male students and a large number of female students who
have equal educational backgrounds, and present them with the kinds
of tasks that real mathematicians face. We should give them new mathematical
material that they have not yet mastered, and allow them to learn
it over an extended period of time: the kind of time scale that real
mathematicians work on. We should ask, how well do the students master
this material? The good news is, this experiment is done all the
time. It's called high school and college.
Here's
the outcome. In high school, girls and boys now take equally many
math classes, including the most advanced ones, and girls get better
grades. In college, women earn almost half of the bachelor's degrees
in mathematics, and men and women get equal grades. Here I respectfully
disagree with one thing that Steve said: men and women get equal
grades, even when you only compare people within a single institution
and a single math class. Equating for classes, men and women get
equal grades.
The outcome
of this large-scale experiment gives us every reason to conclude
that men and women have equal talent for mathematics. Here, I too
would like to quote Diane Halpern. Halpern reviews much evidence
for sex differences, but she concludes, "differences are not deficiencies." Men
and women have equal aptitude for mathematics. Yes, there are sex
differences, but they don't add up to an overall advantage for one
sex over the other.
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Let
me turn to the third claim, that men show greater variability, either
in general or in quantitative abilities in particular, and so there
are more men at the upper end of the ability distribution. I can go
quickly here, because Steve has already talked about the work of Camilla
Benbow and Julian Stanley, focusing on mathematically precocious youth
who are screened at the age of 13, put in intensive accelerated programs,
and then followed up to see what they achieve in mathematics and other
fields.
As Steve said, students were screened at age 13 by the SAT, and there
were many more boys than girls who scored at the highest levels on the
SAT-M. In the 1980s, the disparity was almost 13 to 1. It is now substantially
lower, but there still are more boys among the very small subset of people
from this large, talented sample who scored at the very upper end. Based
on these data, Benbow and Stanley concluded that there are more boys
than girls in the pool from which future mathematicians will be drawn.
But notice the problem with this conclusion: It's based entirely on the
SAT-M. This test, and the disparity it revealed, are in need of an explanation,
a firmer yardstick for assessing and understanding gender differences
in this talented population.
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Fortunately,
Benbow, Stanley and Lubinski have collected much more data on these
mathematically talented boys and girls: not just the ones with top
scores on one timed test, but rather the larger sample of girls and
boys who were accelerated and followed over time. Let's look at some
of the key things that they found.
First,
they looked at college performance by the talented sample. They found
that the males and females took equally demanding math classes and
majored in math in equal numbers. More girls majored in biology and
more boys in physics and engineering, but equal numbers of girls
and boys majored in math. And they got equal grades. The SAT-M not
only under-predicts the performance of college women in general,
it also under-predicted the college performance of women in the talented
sample. These women and men have been shown to be equally talented
by the most meaningful measure we have: their ability to assimilate
new, challenging material in demanding mathematics classes at top-flight
institutions. By that measure, the study does not find any difference
between highly talented girls and boys.
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So,
what's causing the gender imbalance on faculties of math and science?
Not differences in intrinsic aptitude. Let's turn to the social factors
that I think are much more important. Because I'm venturing outside
my own area of work, and because time is short, I won't review all
of the social factors producing differential success of men and women.
I will talk about just one effect: how gender stereotypes influence
the ways in which males and females are perceived.
Let me start with studies of parents' perceptions of their own children.
Steve said that parents report that they treat their children equally.
They treat their boys and girls alike, and they encourage them to equal
extents, for they want both their sons and their daughters to succeed.
This is no doubt true. But how are parents perceiving their kids?
Some
studies have interviewed parents just after the birth of their child,
at the point where the first question that 80% of parents ask — is
it a boy or a girl? — has been answered. Parents of boys describe
their babies as stronger, heartier, and bigger than parents of girls.
The investigators also looked at the babies' medical records and
asked whether there really were differences between the boys and
girls in weight, strength, or coordination. The boys and girls were
indistinguishable in these respects, but the parents' descriptions
were different.
At 12
months of age, girls and boys show equal abilities to walk, crawl,
or clamber. But before one study, Karen Adolph, an investigator of
infants' locomotor development, asked parents to predict how well
their child would do on a set of crawling tasks: Would the child
be able to crawl down a sloping ramp? Parents of sons were more confident
that their child would make it down the ramp than parents of daughters.
When Adolph tested the infants on the ramp, there was no difference
whatever between the sons and daughters, but there was a difference
in the parents' predictions.
My third
example, moving up in age, comes from the studies of Jackie Eccles.
She asked parents of boys and girls in sixth grade, how talented
do you think your child is in mathematics? Parents of sons were more
likely t |